Models & Data · Baseline

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See the exact model, features, cutoff, source health, and promotion decision behind published numbers.

v2 baselineLegacy artifacts isolated

canonical_official_mlb_results11 rows written by settle_mlb_predictionshealthy

mlb_current22 rows written by refresh_mlb_currenthealthy

mlb_research_baseline0 rows written by predict_mlb_currenthealthy

seed_mlb_history12139 rows written by seed_mlb_historyhealthy

Model registry

1 versions

MLresearch

Sequential scoring + Elo / bivariate Poisson

Point-in-time trained baseline with deterministic simulation output.

Versionmlb-sequential-bivariate-poisson-v1Featuresmlb-sequential-current-v1Trained through2025-09-28

3.0005662128555874away score_mae2.856484235699707home score_mae2.8246835165219006margin mae4.029211339737509margin rmse2414test games2025test season4.745907131552539total mae5.762578823141008total rmse

Canonical serving dataGames, sources, markets, and predictions

1registered model versionsOnly database-backed records are counted

Source healthLatest ingestion job state

4/4healthy sourcesOpen details above for stale or missing feeds